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SUMMARY
Bright today with some showers, these more likely across Orkney, while Shetland sees the best of the sunshine. SE値y winds freshening across Shetland and becoming strong over Orkney later.

Mainly dry with some clear spells at first tonight then clouding over with rain reaching Orkney during the early hours and Shetland later. Strong SE値y winds.

Saturday starting wet with strong to gale-force SE値y winds. Orkney turning drier later as winds veer fresh to strong S to SW値y. Shetland staying wet and windy.

The rain clearing Shetland during Sunday morning. Then a cooler day with sunny spells and showers with strong SW to W値y winds.

Monday starting cloudy with showers but becoming drier and brighter as fresh to strong W値y winds ease.

Tuesday mainly dry and bright with lighter S to SW値y winds. Much of the week perhaps mostly dry and bright but with SE値y winds steadily increasing strong at times.

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GENERAL SITUATION & SYNOPSIS
06:00 UTC 21/11/2014
A developing low will move towards Iceland today, strengthening the SE値y airflow as it comes up against high pressure to the north east.

With the depression south of Iceland the strong SE値y airflow will veer SW値y on Saturday as associated occluding fronts swing east over the Northern Isles.

As the low moves east a cooler and showery W値y airflow is likely on Sunday and at first on Monday. The low will then fill, with a ridge forecast to move east over Scotland.

A lighter S値y airflow may then strengthen SE値y during the week as further Atlantic low pressure tries to move towards the British Isles but is prevented by high pressure persisting to the northeast until possibly the weekend.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS
Temperatures rising to 10° Celsius by day, with overnight lows of around 7° Celsius.

FRIDAY 21st: Bright with sunny spells and some showers, these more likely across Orkney, while Shetland sees the best of the sunshine. SE値y winds freshening F5 across Shetland and becoming a strong F6 over Orkney later. Mainly dry with some clear spells during the evening, then clouding over with rain reaching Orkney during the early hours and Shetland later in the night. Strong SE値y winds.
Sea State: Slight to moderate at first becoming moderate to rough, with a 1 to 2 metre S to SE値y wind-swell building 2 to 3 metres.

SATURDAY 22nd: Starting wet with F6 to gale F8 SE値y winds. Orkney turning drier and clearer later as winds veer fresh to strong S to SW値y. The rain and strong to gale SE値y winds persisting across Shetland.
Sea State: Rough, with a 3 to 4 metre SE値y wind-swell.

SUNDAY 23rd: The rain clearing Shetland during the morning. Then a cooler day with sunny spells and showers with F6 SW to W値y winds.
Sea State: Rough to very rough in the west, with a 3 to 5 metre SW or W値y wind-swell. In the east moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SW or W値y wind-swell.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK
Daytime temperatures rising to around 10° Celsius. Overnight lows falling to about 6° Celsius. A degree or so milder later.

MONDAY 24th: Starting cloudy with showers or patchy rain. Becoming drier as fresh to strong W値y winds ease.
Sea State: Moderate, with a 2 metre SW値y wind-swell.

TUESDAY 25th: Mainly dry and bright with lighter S to SW値y winds.
Sea State: Perhaps rough in the west, with a 3 metre SW値y wind-swell. In the east slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre SW値y wind-swell.

WEDNESDAY 26th - MONDAY 1st: The week perhaps rather cloudy with some showers. Freshening SE値y winds increasing strong. Possibly becoming wet and windy over the weekend with risk of gales.
Sea State Wednesday: Possibly moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre S to SE値y wind-swell.

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Friday 21 November, 2014 15:01

WEATHER HEADLINES

Today

Mostly dry and bright. Freshening winds.

  Tonight

Rain spreading northeast. Windy.

  Tomorrow

Shetland remaining wet and windy. Rain clearing Orkney later.

  Days 3 5

Becoming cooler, drier, brighter and less windy.

Days 6-10

Perhaps dry and bright but winds gradually strengthening again.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
via WeatherCast

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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

Fair Isle, South LighthouseFair Isle, South Lighthouse


Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
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Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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