10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness
Thursday 8 May, 2008 11:25
All times on this site UTC


 

 

WEATHER HEADLINES
Next 24 hours:

FINE

Days 2-5:

LITTLE CHANGE AT FIRST

Days 6-10:

MOSTLY DRY, LIGHT WINDS

 


Fair Isle webcam
Fair Isle, looking north from the office window


Please note -
The air temperature readings from the Davis VP2 are presently very suspect, being some four to six degrees Celsius too high.
For example the max on 5th May was not 19.5C, but just 14.0C ('official' Stevenson screen)

Click for further history graphs
Click for further history graphs

 

Fair Isle Weather in 2007
Contrary to all predictions of increased storminess over the Atlantic resulting from global warming, annual wind speeds on Fair Isle – apart from a period during the early 1990s - have decreased.



Fair Isle Climate
Shetland Weather Review

Davis

Click to view current weather

Click to view current weather

Online weather data is normally uploaded every 10 minutes. Please refresh pages regularly for the latest data. This page automatically updates every 30 minutes.

Fair Isle Wind Analysis
Monthly wind rose charts for 2007
 

SUMMARY
After the clearance of any early morning mist from Shetland, another dry, sunny day. In the west, sheltered from the light SE’ly wind, it will be quite warm. Friday a similar day though sunshine is likely to turn hazy as high cloud thickens from the west.

The weekend probably mainly cloudy and misty at times, with outbreaks of showery rain probably spreading from the west on Saturday and patchy drizzle on Sunday, as winds become a moderate SW’ly.

Next week possibly mainly dry and - with light E or NE’ly winds expected - a little cooler.

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS
06:00 UTC 08/05/2008
An anticyclone over the North Sea will move little during the next 24-36 hours, but will relax eastwards during the weekend, allowing weak fronts to move off the Atlantic to affect northern Scotland.

High pressure is expected to build back over the British Isles late on Sunday, with an anticyclone drifting north-westwards across the Northern Isles on Monday.

During the course of next week, high pressure is forecast to transfer to a position between Scotland and Iceland, before later migrating east over the Norwegian Sea as Atlantic low pressure moves towards the British Isles.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS
Weather type – high/medium. Timing – medium.
Daytime temperatures rising to 14° or 15° Celsius inland and 16° or 17° Celsius for the West Mainland of both Orkney and Shetland. On windward coasts temperatures will probably be around 11° to 13° Celsius.  Overnight lows down 6° to 8° Celsius generally, possibly 5° or 6° Celsius for inland valleys.

THURSDAY 8th: After the clearance of any mist and patchy low cloud, another dry, sunny day. Towards evening and overnight mist may again form in inland valleys, with low cloud possibly affecting some eastern hills and headlands. F2-3 SE’ly winds.
Sea state – Slight with a 1 metre SW’ly swell

FRIDAY 9th: Continuing dry. Sunny for much of the time, but this is likely to turn hazy towards sunset as high cloud thickens in the west. During the evening F2-3 SE’ly winds may well carry mist and low cloud off the North Sea on to eastern coasts, with mist also developing in inland valleys.
Sea state – Slight with a 1 metre SW’ly swell

SATURDAY 10th: Perhaps mainly dry at first, but thicker cloud bringing the risk of showery rain spreading from the west by the afternoon. Misty with some coastal and hill fog. F2-3 S to SE’ly winds.
Sea state – Slight with a 1 metre SW’ly swell

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK
Confidence level: Weather type – medium. Timing – medium.
Temperatures 14° or 15° Celsius by day – a couple of degrees cooler on windward coasts - down to 6° to 8° Celsius overnight.

SUNDAY 11th: Cloudy with patchy drizzle accompanied by mist and hill fog. Becoming mostly dry and brighter for the afternoon and evening. Moderate S to SW’ly winds.

MONDAY 12th: Dry and sunny with light and variable winds.

TUESDAY 13th – SUNDAY 18th: The week possibly mainly dry and - with light NE’ly winds expected - turning a little cooler.

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Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
.



Fair Isle, South Lighthouse
Fair Isle, South Lighthouse

Full moon rising

Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October


Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.

Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly




Daily news for Orkney -


and Shetland -



www.shetlandtoday.co.uk

Lerwick Weatherstation
Updated every 10  min

Tide times for Fair Isle & Other Northern Harbours
(links to page on BBC website)

Roads Weather Stations Shetland

Scapa Flow Harbours - Live Weather

Faeroese Weather Service

Shetland Landscapes
Excellent site describing the Shetland landscape and geology
by former Sella Ness forecaster Allen Fraser
Check out the Climate page for an in-depth insight
on the 'Braer Storm'!

A Shetland production company specialising in Shetland images and music, both traditional and contemporary.
 
Reflections of Shetland - a set of four DVD’s showing a personal view of the changing seasons of Shetland inspired by John J. Graham’s poem. 

 


aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

 



DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.

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