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SUMMARY

Bright with scattered showers, most frequent over Orkney, wintry over the higher ground. Becoming drier and brighter this afternoon. Moderate N値y winds. A bright evening with clear spells and just a few showers, these becoming more frequent for a time overnight. Strengthening N値y winds.

Saturday bright with sunny spells and scattered wintry showers, dying out acro9ss Orkney during the afternoon. Strong N値y winds slowly moderating over Orkney. Bright with some showers on Sunday, mainly over Shetland, wintry over higher ground. Fresh to strong NW値y winds.

A cold start to next week, with more frequent wintry showers and strong to gale-force N値y winds for a time.

The rest of the Outlook Period perhaps continuing cool with fresh to strong, mainly N値y winds easing later. Quite a lot of dry weather, though some wintry showers possible at first.

 

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 22/04/2016

The north of Scotland lies within a NW to N値y airflow of a depression to the north of Shetland. The low is forecast to then move northwards, maintaining a colder Arctic N値y airflow for the weekend and into the start of next week.

Current predictions suggest high pressure may then become centred to the west of the British Isles, perhaps remaining there through much of next week. Together with low pressure over Scandinavia or the Norwegian Sea this is likely to result in a rather persistent NW値y airflow across the Northern Isles.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

Cold with a high of between 6ー and 8ー Celsius down to 2ー Celsius overnight.

FRIDAY 22nd: Bright with scattered showers, most frequent over Orkney, wintry over the higher ground. Becoming drier and brighter during the afternoon with some sunshine, more especially over Shetland. A few wintry showers, perhaps with snow to low levels at times over Shetland. F4 N値y winds. A bright evening with clear spells and just a few showers, these becoming more frequent for a time overnight, falling as snow to lower levels. N値y winds strengthening F6.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre NW to N値y wind-swell. Highest in west and north.

SATURDAY 23rd: Cold and bright with sunny spells and scattered wintry showers, dying out across Orkney during the afternoon. F6 N値y winds slowly easing F4 over Orkney.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre N値y wind-swell. Highest in west and north.

SUNDAY 24th: Bright with some showers, mainly over Shetland, wintry over higher ground. F5-6 NW値y winds.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre N値y wind-swell. Highest in west and north. 

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

A cold start to the week with a daytime high of around 7ー Celsius down to 2ー or 3ー Celsius overnight. Perhaps less cold later with a high of around 8ー or 9ー Celsius, and overnight lows down to 3ー or 4ー Celsius.

MONDAY 25th: Cold with more frequent wintry showers. Strong to gale-force N値y winds.
Sea State: Rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre N値y wind-swell. Highest in west and north.

TUESDAY 26th: Mostly cloudy with wintry showers and strong N値y winds.
Sea State: Perhaps rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre N値y wind-swell. Highest in west and north.

WEDNESDAY 27th MONDAY 1st: Perhaps continuing cool with fresh to strong, mainly N値y winds easing later. Quite a lot of dry weather, though some wintry showers possible at first.
Sea State Wednesday: Possibly rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre N値y wind-swell. Highest in west and north.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Friday 22 April, 2016 14:51

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Friday, 22 April 2016 at 14:14

  Tonight

Wintry showers. Strengthening winds.

  Tomorrow

Showers turning progressively more wintry. Windy.

  Days 3 5

Bright with some showers on Sunday, wintry over higher ground. Monday and Tuesday colder with more frequent wintry showers. Windy.

Days 6-10

Cool, some wintry showers and breezy at times.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

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Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.

Orkney becoming warm dry and bright as rain moves on into Shetland, before clearing later. Breezy.