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SUMMARY
Mostly dry but rather cloudy at first with some sunny spells developing later, the best of these over Orkney. Moderate to fresh SW’ly winds. Remaining dry overnight with some clear spells. The fresh to strong SW’ly winds over Shetland easing.

Wednesday mainly dry and bright with warm sunny spells, the best of these again over Orkney where SW’ly winds will be light. Moderate SW’ly winds over Shetland.

Somewhat cloudier on Thursday with the chance of the odd light shower. Friday brighter and mostly dry in Shetland. Orkney cloudier with the chance of a light shower. Light SW’ly winds. Saturday and Sunday dry and bright with sunny spells and light and variable winds.

Much of the following week perhaps dry with light and variable winds tending light SE’ly, bringing the risk of low cloud and misty conditions to eastern coasts and hills.

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GENERAL SITUATION & SYNOPSIS
06:00 UTC 02/09/2014
With pressure building across the UK and low pressure over Iceland a moderate to fresh SW’ly airflow covers the Northern Isles.

High pressure, building over Scandinavia, is expected to gradually extend westwards over the Northern Isles later in the week, weakening an Atlantic cold front as it moves east then southeast across the Northern Isles.

Forecasts suggest a continuation of high pressure close to or just to the east of the Northern Isles maintaining mainly settled conditions over next weekend and into the following week, possibility with a light airflow backing SE’ly later.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS
Confidence level: Confidence level: Weather type – medium/high. Timing – medium.
Temperatures rising to 15° or 16° Celsius, perhaps 17° or 18° Celsius in sunnier spells locally. Overnight lows falling to around 10° Celsius.

TUESDAY 2nd: A rather cloudy start with the chance of a light shower across Shetland, otherwise dry with some sunny spells developing. F5, occasionally F6 SW’ly winds across Shetland, F4 in Orkney. Remaining dry through this evening and overnight with some clear spells, the best of these over Orkney. The F5 SW’ly winds over Shetland easing F4.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SW’ly wind-swell. Highest in west.

WEDNESDAY 3rd: Apart from the risk of a light shower over Shetland it will be dry with bright or sunny spells, the best of these again over Orkney where it will feel warm in F2-3 SW’ly winds will be light. F4 SW’ly winds over Shetland.
Sea State: Slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre SW’ly wind-swell. Highest in west.

THURSDAY 4th: Still some sunny intervals, but somewhat cloudier with the chance of the odd light shower. F2-3 SW’ly winds, occasionally F4 across the north of Shetland.
Sea State: Slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre SW’ly wind-swell. Highest in west.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK
Confidence level: Weather type – medium/low. Timing – low.
Temperatures 15° to 17° Celsius by day down to around 10° Celsius overnight.

FRIDAY 5th: Brighter and mostly dry in Shetland with sunny intervals. Orkney cloudier with the chance of a light shower. Light W’ly winds.
Sea State: Slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre W’ly wind-swell.

SATURDAY 6th: Dry and bright with sunny spells. Winds becoming light and variable.
Sea State: Perhaps slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre W or NW’ly wind-swell.

SUNDAY 7th – FRIDAY 12th: Sunday dry and bright with sunny spells and light and variable winds. Much of the following week perhaps dry with light and variable winds tending light SE’ly, bringing the risk of low cloud and misty conditions to eastern coasts and hills.
Sea State on Sunday: Possibly mostly slight, with a 1 metre or less W or NW’ly wind-swell.

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Tuesday 2 September, 2014 13:33

WEATHER HEADLINES

Today

Mainly dry and bright. Breezy across Shetland.

  Tonight

Mostly dry with clear spells. Winds easing.

  Tomorrow

Mainly dry and bright. Lighter winds.

  Days 3 5

Cloudy at times with the odd shower. Light winds.

Days 6-10

Mainly dry and bright with light winds.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

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Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
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Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010
 

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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