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SUMMARY

Bright today with occasional showers, some heavy and wintry, and strong W to NW値y winds. Cloudier overnight with outbreaks of rain reaching Orkney by midnight and Shetland in the early hours. The rain dying out over Orkney later. Strong SW to W値y winds.

Shetland mostly cloudy with rain at times on Tuesday. After a mostly dry start rain will return to Orkney later in the afternoon. Strong SW to W値y winds backing SW値y. Further rain at times through the evening and overnight with strong SW値y winds.

Colder on Wednesday and Thursday with wintry showers of sleet or snow. Friday less cold with sleet or rain showers. Mostly strong NW値y winds, possibly lighter N値y later,

The weekend and first part of next week perhaps bright at times with further showers, some wintry, and possibly moderate to fresh E or NE値y winds.

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 24/01/2015

With a deep depression north of Iceland and high pressure to the southwest of the British Isles a strong, cool W値y airflow covers northern Scotland. This will back to a milder SW値y overnight as a flat ridge swings east over the UK.

A relatively mild SW値y is likely to persist through Tuesday, with a trailing warm front crossing the Northern Isles during the day and further fronts following through the evening and overnight.

With low pressure expected to transfer east into the southern Norwegian Sea Wednesday will see the return of a cooler and showery W値y airflow. With the low forecast to drift north along the Norwegian coast a colder N値y airflow is expected by Thursday.

The current prognosis suggests the weekend may see low pressure migrating south over the North Sea and then into Europe, possibly bringing a slacker E to NE値y airflow over northeast Scotland.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

Cool on today with temperatures around 5ー Celsius and falling little tonight. Milder on Tuesday with daytime temperatures around 8ー Celsius. Then cooler overnight with a low of, around 4ー Celsius. Cool on Wednesday with a high of about 5ー down to a low around 1ー Celsius.

MONDAY 26th: Bright with some sunny periods and occasional showers, some heavy with hail and wintry over the hills. The showers passing by quickly, driven along by F6 W to NW値y winds. Clear spells and a few showers this evening then cloudier overnight with outbreaks of rain reaching Orkney by midnight and Shetland in the early hours. The rain dying out over Orkney later. F6 SW to W値y winds.
Sea State: Rough to very rough, with a 3 to 6 metre W値y wind-swell.

TUESDAY 27th: Shetland mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain through much of the day. Mainly dry over Orkney for a time with some brightness possible before cloud thickens and rain returns later in the afternoon. F6-7 SW to W値y winds backing SW値y. Further rain at times through the evening and overnight with F6 SW値y winds.
Sea State: Rough or very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre SW値y wind-swell.

WEDNESDAY 28th: A cloudy start with rain then becoming drier and brighter with showers turning wintry later as F6-7, locally gale F8, SW値y winds veer W then NW値y.
Sea State: Rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre W値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Temperatures in the daily range 5ー Celsius down to 3ー Celsius at first. Perhaps a degree or so less cool later.

THURSDAY 29th: Cold with wintry showers of sleet or snow. Strong NW値y winds, possibly easing and backing W値y for a time, veering NW値y and strengthening again later.
Sea State: Rough to very rough, with a 3 to 6 metre W or NW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

FRIDAY 30th: Perhaps less cold with wintry showers turning more to rain. Lighter N値y winds.
Sea State: Perhaps rough to very rough, with a 3 to 6 metre NW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

SATURDAY 31st - THURSDAY 5th: Perhaps bright at times with further showers, some wintry, and possibly moderate to fresh E or NE値y winds.
Sea State Saturday: Possibly rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre E or NE値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Monday 26 January, 2015 14:06

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Bright and windy with showers, some wintry

  Tonight

Windy and milder with some rain.

  Tomorrow

Windy with rain at times.

  Days 3 5

Colder, brighter and windy. Showers turning wintry.

Days 6-10

Bright at times. Some showers. Less windy.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

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Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.