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SUMMARY

Occasional heavy showers this morning, some heavy and wintry with the chance of thunder. The showers most frequent over Shetland. The afternoon drier and brighter with strong to gale-force SW値y winds easing a little. Thickening cloud and strengthening winds backing S値y will bring outbreaks of rain and hill snow overnight. Clearer conditions and blustery showers following by dawn as strong to gale-force winds veer SW値y.

Bright spells on Saturday with occasionally heavy wintry showers at first. The showers becoming lighter and fewer by the afternoon. Strong to gale-force SW値y winds easing a touch and backing S to SE値y later bringing rain and hill snow overnight. Some rain or sleet and perhaps hill snow on Sunday then brighter with lighter winds for a time but with showers and strong N値y winds later.

Winds easing and backing to leave Monday bright with wintry showers and fresh to strong SW to W値y winds. Tuesday and Wednesday perhaps bright with wintry showers and fresh to strong W値y winds.

The rest of next week perhaps more becoming settled and mainly dry as easing cool NW値y winds back into a milder S値y direction and freshening over the following weekend.

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 27/02/2015

The strong showery SW値y airflow is expected to persist through today as a filling depression near Iceland moves away into the Norwegian Sea.

Further fronts are expected to move through the area early on Saturday as the next depression moves northeast between Scotland and Iceland. Later in the day the strong SW値y airflow is likely to ease ahead of the next Atlantic low pressure, this time forecast to take a more southerly track towards the UK.

With this low currently expected to cross the mainland of northern Scotland a slack cyclonic airflow is likely to become a strong NE to N値y on Sunday and then a fresh SW値y by morning as the low moves away eastwards.

The present prognosis suggests a large area of slack low pressure to the north will bring a relative light SW値y airflow across the Northern Isles during the first part of next week.

Atlantic high pressure may then drift in across the British Isles with a lighter cool NW値y for the latter part of the week and a strengthening S値y later as the high moves away eastwards.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

Cool with a daytime high of around 6ー Celsius and an overnight low about 3ー Celsius.

FRIDAY 27th: Occasional heavy showers this morning, wintry on hills and perhaps to lower levels in the heavier ones with hail, sleet and the chance of thunder. Some brighter spells between, mainly across Orkney with the showers more frequent over Shetland. The afternoon drier and brighter with fewer showers and some sunny spells developing. Still cold, but F7 to gale F8 SW値y winds easing F6-7. Some showers over Shetland at first this evening then thickening cloud will bring outbreaks of rain and hill snow overnight Winds backing S値y and increasing F7 to gale F8. Clearing to blustery showers towards dawn as winds veer F6 to gale F8 SW値y.
Sea State: Very rough or high in the west, with 6 to 8 metre SW to W値y wind swell. In the east rough to very rough, with a 3 to 6 metre SW to W値y wind-swell.

SATURDAY 28th: Bright spells with occasionally heavy showers at first, some with hail and snow on hills. The showers becoming lighter and fewer by the afternoon. F6 to gale F8 SW値y winds easing a touch in the afternoon and backing S to SE値y later bringing rain and hill snow overnight.
Sea State: Rough to very rough or high, with 4 to 7 metre SW値y wind swell. Highest in the west.

SUNDAY 1st: Some rain or sleet and perhaps hill snow at first, clearing to showers over Orkney in afternoon and across Shetland overnight. Strong S鼠y winds easing for a time but with F6-7 N値y winds later.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 4 metre SW to W値y wind swell. Highest in the west.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Temperatures at first in the daily range 6ー or 7ー Celsius by day down to between 2ー and 4ー Celsius overnight with chance of overnight frosts. Milder after mid-week.

MONDAY 2nd: Winds easing and backing to leave a bright day with wintry showers and fresh to strong SW to W値y winds.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 4 metre W値y wind swell. Highest in the west.

TUESDAY 3rd: Perhaps bright with wintry showers and fresh to strong W値y winds.
Sea State: Perhaps moderate to rough, with a 2 to 4 metre W値y wind swell. Highest in the west.

WEDNESDAY 4th - MONDAY 9th: Wednesday perhaps bright with wintry showers and fresh to strong W値y winds. Possibly then becoming less unsettled and drier with cool NW値y winds easing for a time before later backing to a milder S値y direction and freshening during the weekend.
Sea State Wednesday: Possibly moderate to rough, with a 2 to 4 metre W値y wind swell. Highest in the west.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Friday 27 February, 2015 12:20

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Blustery wintry showers, less frequent later. Gales at first.

  Tonight

Rain or sleet. Windy.

  Tomorrow

Wintry showers becoming less frequent. Gales easing. Rain or sleet overnight

  Days 3 5

Rain or sleet on Sunday, clearing Orkney in afternoon and Shetland later. Windy with wintry

Days 6-10

Perhaps a less unsettled spell. Drier and less windy for a time.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

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Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
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Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.