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SUMMARY

Mostly cloudy today with some showers and feeling rather cool in strong to near-gale force N値y winds. A few light showers tonight, but much of the time it will be dry with a few clear intervals possible. Strong N値y winds continuing,

Another cool day on Thursday with strong N値y winds. Still a few light showers around, but also plenty of dry weather with brighter spells.

Cloudy with some light rain for a time on Friday. NW値y winds temporarily easing moderate. Then mainly dry and cool with a fresh to strong NW値y wind on Saturday. Sunday milder with a little rain possible, but still a fresh NW値y wind.

The following week perhaps starting fair with moderate winds backing W then falling light, but becoming unsettled and windy with chance of S値y gales later in the week.

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 02/09/2015

With pressure high to the west and a depression over southern Scandinavia a strong N値y airflow covers northeast Scotland.

The strong, cool N値y airflow will persist through Thursday, but temporarily ease on Friday as a frontal system slips south across the Northern Isles. A ridge will approach from the west during the weekend, maintaining a fresh NW値y airflow, with a weak front slipping round the edge of the high to affect Orkney and Shetland on Sunday.

After the weekend the airflow will slacken as a ridge moves east across Scotland. Present forecasts suggest the following week may start with a moderate SW値y airflow as the ridge declines but current predictions suggest this strengthening later as Atlantic low pressure drives fronts east over Scotland.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

Daytime temperatures 13ー to 15ー Celsius for Orkney and 12ー or 13ー Celsius for Shetland. Overnight lows 9ー or 10ー Celsius.

WEDNESDAY 2nd: Mostly cloudy with some patchy rain or showers and feeling rather cool in F6-7 N値y winds. Any brighter, possibly sunny spells are most likely to occur across the south of Shetland. A few light showers tonight, but much of the time it will be dry with a few clear intervals possible. F6-7 N値y winds continuing,
Sea State: Mainly rough, with a 3 to 4 metre N値y wind-swell.

THURSDAY 3rd: Another cool day with F6-7 N値y winds. Still a few light showers around, but also plenty of dry weather with the better chance of some sunny spells.
Sea State: Mostly rough, with a 3 metre N値y wind-swell later.

FRIDAY 4th: Cloudy with some light rain for a time. NW値y winds temporarily easing F3-5.
Sea State: Mostly moderate, with a 2 metre NW値y wind-swell.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Temperatures 13ー to 15ー Celsius by day. Overnight lows down to around 9ー Celsius.

SATURDAY 5th: Cool and mainly cloudy with a fresh to strong NW値y wind and some showers.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre N to NW値y wind-swell.

SUNDAY 6th: Milder with a little rain possible, but still a fresh NW値y wind.
Sea State: Perhaps mostly moderate becoming slight to moderate, with a 2 metre NW to N値y wind swell easing 1 to 2 metre NW値y.

MONDAY 7th - SATURDAY 12th: Mostly dry on Monday with moderate NW値y winds. Perhaps starting fair with moderate winds backing W then falling light, but becoming unsettled and windy with chance of S値y gales later in the week.
Sea State Monday: Possibly slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre NW値y wind-swell.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Wednesday 2 September, 2015 14:15

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Cool and mostly cloudy with some showers. Strong winds.

  Tonight

Rather cloudy but mostly dry. Windy.

  Tomorrow

Cloudy with a few showers. Cool and windy.

  Days 3 5

Some light rain and less windy for a time on Friday. Then mainly dry though breezy over the weekend. Less cool on Sunday.

Days 6-10

Drier with lighter winds for a time. Becoming unsettled and windy later next week.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
via WeatherCast

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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

Fair Isle, South LighthouseFair Isle, South Lighthouse


Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.

Orkney becoming warm dry and bright as rain moves on into Shetland, before clearing later. Breezy.