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SUMMARY

Starting dry and bright today but some showery rain possible for the afternoon. SW値y winds freshening. Becoming mainly dry this evening and at first tonight, but rain moving across Orkney towards dawn. Freshening SE値y winds.

Dry at first in Shetland on Saturday otherwise cloudy with outbreaks of occasionally heavy rain. SE to E値y gales developing. Becoming colder on Sunday with blustery showers turning wintry. Strong to gale-force W to NW値y winds veering fresh NW to N値y.

Bright on Monday and Tuesday with occasionally wintry showers and strong to gale-force W to NW値y winds. The rest of the Outlook perhaps starting unsettled and changeable with showers or bands of rain and fresh, occasionally strong, predominantly W値y winds with the chance of gales.

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 27/03/2015

An overnight ridge of high pressure will decline today as a developing low moves towards Ireland. This low is expected to track northeast close to the Northern Isles during Saturday before moving away as a filling feature. A further shallower low may follow a similar track across northern Scotland later on Sunday or on Monday.

The outlook for next week suggests low pressure to the north and an anticyclone to the southwest is likely to result in a zonal W値y airflow. This would bring a changeable and strong SW to NW値y airflow over the Northern Isles as depressions track east from Iceland.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

Temperatures in the range around 7ー Celsius by day down to 4ー or 5ー Celsius overnight. A degree or so cooler on Sunday.

FRIDAY 27th: Starting dry and bright but thickening cloud bringing outbreaks of showery rain for the afternoon. Light W値y winds backing SW値y and freshening F6. Turning drier and clearer later as winds ease. Mainly cloudy with occasional showers during the evening. Turning dry during the early hours, but rain moving across Orkney around dawn. SE値y winds freshening F5-6.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SW値y wind swell. Highest in the west.

SATURDAY 28th: Shetland perhaps starting dry otherwise cloudy with outbreaks of rain, heavy at times, as strengthening SE to E値y winds reach gale F8. Winds perhaps easing for a time later as rain turns showery. Strong to gale force W to NW値y winds with blustery showers expected later but easing again overnight.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 4 metre SE値y wind swell turning E値y and later N値y.

SUNDAY 29th: Sunny spells and showers, these wintry later. F4-5 W to NW値y winds strengthening F5-7 later.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre W値y wind swell.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Highs of 7ー or 8ー Celsius by day down to a low of 3ー or 4ー Celsius overnight at first. A degree or so milder later.

MONDAY 30th: Bright with occasionally heavy wintry showers with hail and risk of thunder. Strong to gale-force W値y winds perhaps easing for a time.
Sea State: Moderate to rough becoming rough to very rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SW値y wind-swell building 3 to 5 metres and turning W値y. Highest in the west.

TUESDAY 31st: A cold day with wintry showers and strong W to NW値y winds.
Sea State: Perhaps rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre W or NW値y wind swell. Highest in the west.

WEDNESDAY 31st - MONDAY 6th: Wednesday cold with wintry showers and strong NW値y winds. The rest of the week perhaps seeing showers or bands of rain and fresh, occasionally strong, perhaps predominantly W値y winds with the chance of gales.
Sea State Wednesday: Possibly rough to very rough, with a 4 to 6 metre NW値y wind swell. Highest in the west.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Friday 27 March, 2015 12:44

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Bright. Some showers. Breezy.

  Tonight

Becoming mainly dry with lighter winds for a time. Rain reaching Orkney later.

  Tomorrow

Rain and gales for a time.

  Days 3 5

Cooler with blustery showers, these wintry later. Windy at times with chance of gales.

Days 6-10

Changeable with showers or longer spells of rain. A few brighter interludes. Windy with risk of gales.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
via WeatherCast

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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

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Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.