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SUMMARY

Today mild and cloudy with some rain, then brighter with a few isolated showers later. Strong S値y winds veering fresh to strong SW値y.

Saturday mostly dry and bright. Fresh SW値y winds backing strong S to SE値y. Overnight showers, perhaps merging to a longer spell of rain before clearing back to showers on Sunday morning. Winds veering fresh to strong SW値y.

Monday rather cloudy with rain or showers and mostly moderate winds. Turning cooler with wintry showers on Tuesday as moderate to fresh E値y winds back fresh to strong N値y. A cold week in prospect with wintry showers and later night frosts, as cold N値y winds become lighter E to NE値y.

 

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 05/02/2016

Fronts, associated with a low to the south of Iceland will clear today, the fresh to strong S値y airflow veering to a clearer SW値y. This will back S to SE値y on Saturday as the deepening low swings in towards British Isles. It is expected to drive further fronts north on Sunday as the centre moves closer to northwest Scotland, the cyclonic airflow backing E値y as it does so,

Early next week low pressure is forecast to transfer east over the Northern Isles into Scandinavia, with the prospect of a relatively mild cyclonic airflow becoming a N.ly, feeding Arctic air southwards.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

Milder today with temperatures rising to around 8ー Celsius. Colder overnight, down to 2ー or 3ー Celsius. On Saturday and Sunday temperatures in the daily range around 6ー Celsius down to 2ー or 3ー Celsius.

FRIDAY 5th: Starting cloudy with patchy rain, turning heavier for a time. A clearance to brighter conditions and a few isolated showers will follow as the F6 S値y winds veer F5-6 SW値y, first across Orkney during the afternoon and Shetland by evening. A few showers during the evening, then dry and chilly overnight with clear spells. F5 SW値y winds backing S値y.
Sea State: Rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre S to SW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

SATURDAY 6th: Mostly dry with sunny spells. Cloud thickening later bringing some showers as F5 SW値y winds back F6 S to SE値y.
Sea State: Rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre S or SW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

SUNDAY 7th: Overnight showers, perhaps merging to a longer spell of rain before clearing back to showers during the morning. F6 S to SE値y winds veering F5-6 SW値y.
Sea State: Rough, with a 3 to 4 metre S値y wind-swell.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Temperatures in the daily range around 5ー Celsius down to 1ー or 2ー Celsius.

MONDAY 8th: Rather cloudy with rain or showers and mostly moderate cyclonic variable winds.
Sea State: Perhaps moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre E値y wind-swell.

TUESDAY 9th: After a relatively mild start turning cooler as moderate to fresh E値y winds back fresh to strong N値y, bringing wintry showers.
Sea State: Possibly rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre NE to N値y wind-swell.

WEDNESDAY 10th MONDAY 15th: Cold with wintry showers and later night frosts, as cold N値y winds become lighter E to NE値y.
Sea State Wednesday: Possibly rough to very rough, with a 3 to 5 metre N値y wind-swell.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Friday 5 February, 2016 11:37

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Brighter after rain. Mild and breezy.

  Tonight

Mainly dry and partly cloudy. Cooler.

  Tomorrow

Mostly dry and bright. Winds strengthening later.

  Days 3 5

Rain or showers with brighter spells on Sunday and Monday. Turning colder on Tuesday with wintry showers. Breezy at times.

Days 6-10

Cold with wintry showers. Night frosts later, as winds ease.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
via WeatherCast

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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

Fair Isle, South LighthouseFair Isle, South Lighthouse


Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.

Orkney becoming warm dry and bright as rain moves on into Shetland, before clearing later. Breezy.