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SUMMARY

A bright and breezy mainly day, though a few showers will develop through the afternoon, mainly across Orkney. Fresh W値y winds, occasionally strong. Bright this evening with further showers across Orkney extending to Shetland overnight. Fresh, occasionally strong, W値y winds backing SW値y.

Bright on Tuesday with scattered showers, some heavy. Late in the afternoon cloud will thicken across Orkney, the cloudier skies extending to Shetland overnight as some showery rain reaches Orkney. Fresh, occasionally strong, SW値y wind, backing S値y and easing moderates.

Wednesday rather cloudy with some rain or showers. Moderate S値y winds. Brighter with some showers and light to moderate S値y winds on Thursday. Chance of early showers on Friday then mainly dry and bright with fresh SW値y winds.

The changeable weather continuing through the weekend with sunny or clear spells and scattered showers. Breezy at first with fresh SW to W値y winds easing later. The first part of next week possibly drier and brighter with lighter winds.

 

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 27/06/2016

With pressure low from southern Greenland, across Iceland and into the southern Norwegian sea a fresh SW to W値y airflow covers northern Scotland. This will back SW値y by Tuesday as low pressure becomes centered over Iceland, and then S値y by Wednesday as the Iceland low is expected to develop a trough down towards the British Isles.

Slack low pressure is forecast to persist through Thursday, with a deeper low tracking northeast past Scotland introducing a stronger SW to W値y for Friday and start of the weekend.

Current predictions suggest pressure building across Scotland by the following wee, bringing a slacker airflow and less changeable situation.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

A daytime high of 14ー or 15ー Celsius, with overnight lows of 9ー or 10ー Celsius.

MONDAY 27th: After a rather cloudy start it will brighten up through this morning, though a few showers will develop through the afternoon, mainly across Orkney. Shetland is likely to have the best of the sunshine. F5 W値y winds, occasionally F6. Sunny spells this evening with further showers, mainly across Orkney at first, but extending to Shetland overnight. F5, occasionally F6, W値y winds backing SW値y.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre W値y wind-swell becoming SW値y later. Highest in the west.

TUESDAY 28th: Bright with scattered showers, occasionally heavy, and sunny spells. Late in the afternoon cloud will thicken across Orkney from the south, the cloudier skies extending to Shetland overnight as some showery rain reaches Orkney. F5, occasionally F6, SW値y wind, backing S値y and easing F4.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

WEDNESDAY 29th: Rather cloudy with some rain or showers. F4 S値y winds.
Sea State: Mostly moderate, with a 2 metre S値y wind-swell.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Temperatures rising to 14ー or 15ー Celsius by day, with overnight lows falling to around 9ー Celsius.

THURSDAY 30th: Brighter with some showers and light to moderate S値y winds.
Sea State: Mostly moderate, with a 2 metre S値y wind-swell.

FRIDAY 1st: Chance of early showers then mainly dry and bright with fresh SW値y winds.
Sea State: Perhaps moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

SATURDAY 2nd THURSDAY 7th: The changeable weather continuing through the weekend with sunny or clear spells and scattered showers. Breezy at first with fresh SW to W値y winds easing later. The first part of next week possibly drier and brighter with lighter winds.
Sea State Saturday: Possibly moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre W値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Friday 22 April, 2016 14:51

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Bright with a few showers. Breezy.

  Tonight

Scattered showers. Breezy.

  Tomorrow

Bright with some showers. Lighter winds.

  Days 3 5

Some rain or showers and drier, brighter spells. Breezy later.

Days 6-10

Showers. Breezy at first, winds easing later. Possibly drier and brighter after the weekend.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
via WeatherCast

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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

Fair Isle, South LighthouseFair Isle, South Lighthouse


Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Reflections of Shetland - a set of four DVD’s showing a personal view of the changing seasons of Shetland inspired by John J. Graham’s poem. 

 

 

 
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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.

Orkney becoming warm dry and bright as rain moves on into Shetland, before clearing later. Breezy.