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SUMMARY

Bright today with a few scattered light showers, these dying out across Orkney during the afternoon. Fresh N to NW値y winds, occasionally strong over Shetland at first. Scattered light showers over Shetland tonight. Winds falling light. Orkney dry but patchy rain or drizzle later. A light SW値y breeze developing.

Shetland starting Friday dry, but cloud and showery rain across Orkney will extend erratically across Shetland during the afternoon. S to SW値y winds freshening.

Saturday bright with showers, some heavy and possibly thundery, particularly across Orkney. Milder with moderate S値y winds becoming light and variable. Sunday mostly dry and bright with light winds. A SE値y breeze freshening later.

A dry start on Monday but strengthening SE値y winds soon bringing rain in from the south. Tuesday rather cloudy with outbreaks of rain and fresh SE値y winds. Wednesday and Thursday perhaps drier and brighter with scattered showers and lighter SW値y winds. The end of the week and weekend possibly mainly dry and bright with light or moderate SW値y winds tending SE値y.

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 30/07/2015

A fresh N to NW値y airflow will ease today as a low over southern Scandinavia moves away and a ridge swings east over northern Scotland.

A depression to the west of Scotland, will push fronts across the Northern Isles on Friday, bringing a milder S to SE値y airflow. The filling low is expected to drift across the Northern Isles during the course of the weekend.

Present forecasts suggest a depression may then track east to become slow-moving to the west of Scotland for a time, bringing rather unsettled conditions across the Northern Isles for the first part of next week. Some improvement later as the low drifts away towards Iceland as a filling feature.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

Daytime temperatures 13ー or 14ー Celsius for Kirkwall and 12ー or 13ー Celsius for Lerwick. Overnight lows around 8ー Celsius. A degree or so milder by the weekend.

THURSDAY 30th: Bright with sunny spells and a few scattered light showers, these dying out across Orkney during the afternoon. F5 N to NW値y winds, occasionally F5-6 over Shetland at first. Some sunshine this evening though with scattered light showers over Shetland. Winds falling light. Later in the night cloud will extend into Orkney from the southwest bringing some patchy rain or drizzle. A light F3 SW値y breeze developing.
Sea State: Slight to moderate in Orkney waters, with a 1 to 2 metre N値y wind-swell. At first around Shetland, moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre N値y wind-swell. Highest in the north. Later becoming generally light to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre W値y wind-swell.

FRIDAY 31st: Shetland starting dry with some early sunshine, but cloud and showery rain across Orkney will extend erratically across Fair Isle then the rest Shetland during the afternoon and evening. S to SW値y winds freshening F5.
Sea State: Slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre S to SE値y wind-swell.

SATURDAY 1st: Bright with sunshine and showers, some heavy with the risk of thunder, particularly across Orkney. Milder with F4 S値y winds becoming light and variable.
Sea State: Slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre S to SW値y wind-swell.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Temperatures 13ー to 15ー Celsius by day. Overnight lows down to around 9ー Celsius.

SUNDAY 2nd: Mostly dry and sunny with light winds. A SE値y breeze freshening later.
Sea State: Moderate to slight, with a 1 to 2 metre W値y wind-swell turning S to SE値y.

MONDAY 3rd: A dry start but strengthening SE値y winds soon bringing rain in from the south.
Sea State: Perhaps moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SE値y wind-swell.

TUESDAY 4th -SUNDAY 9th: Monday and Tuesday rather cloudy with outbreaks of rain and fresh S to SE値y winds. Wednesday and Thursday perhaps drier and brighter with scattered showers and lighter SW値y winds. The end of the week possibly mainly dry and bright with light or moderate winds.
Sea State Tuesday: Possibly mostly moderate, with a 2 metre S値y wind-swell.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Thursday 30 July, 2015 12:46

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Bright cool and breezy with a few showers.

  Tonight

Chance of a shower in Shetland. Rain into Orkney later. Lighter winds.

  Tomorrow

Rain extending north.

  Days 3 5

Sunshine and showers for Saturday. Chance of thunder. Sunday mostly dry and bright. Rain returning for Monday. Becoming windy.

Days 6-10

Unsettled at first with rain or showers and windy at times. Improving later.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

Fair Isle, South LighthouseFair Isle, South Lighthouse


Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Reflections of Shetland - a set of four DVD’s showing a personal view of the changing seasons of Shetland inspired by John J. Graham’s poem. 

 

 

 
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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.

Orkney becoming warm dry and bright as rain moves on into Shetland, before clearing later. Breezy.