10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness
Friday 16 May, 2008 14:09
All times on this site UTC


 

 

WEATHER HEADLINES
Next 24 hours:

DRY AND BRIGHT

Days 2-5:

MOSTLY DRY WITH A COOL N’LY BREEZE

Days 6-10:

MOSTLY DRY, SOME RAIN LATER

 


Fair Isle webcam
Fair Isle, looking north from the office window


Please note -
The air temperature readings from the Davis VP2 are presently very suspect, being some four to six degrees Celsius too high.
For example the max on 5th May was not 19.5C, but just 14.0C ('official' Stevenson screen)

Click for further history graphs
Click for further history graphs

 

Fair Isle Weather in 2007
Contrary to all predictions of increased storminess over the Atlantic resulting from global warming, annual wind speeds on Fair Isle – apart from a period during the early 1990s - have decreased.



Fair Isle Climate
Shetland Weather Review

Davis

Click to view current weather

Click to view current weather

Online weather data is normally uploaded every 10 minutes. Please refresh pages regularly for the latest data. This page automatically updates every 30 minutes.

Fair Isle Wind Analysis
Monthly wind rose charts for 2007
 

SUMMARY
A cloudy morning with some patchy drizzle across Orkney and Caithness. Becoming mostly dry with sunny or clear periods by the afternoon as light NW’ly winds veer N to NE’ly.

Little change is expected over the weekend or early part of next week, as high pressure maintains settled conditions over northern Scotland.

Later next week, as high pressure weakens, winds may become strong SE’ly, with some patchy rain spreading from the west by the following weekend.

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS
06:00 UTC 16/05/2008
With high pressure to the west and a cold front moving south over mainland Scotland, a cloudy NW’ly airflow presently covers northeast Scotland. This will veer to a clearer N to NE’ly later today, and freshen a little on Sunday as a small low moves south over Denmark.

A lighter N’ly airflow will follow for the early part of next week, as a ridge of high pressure builds southeast from Iceland.

Later next week, it looks as though Atlantic low pressure will drift closer to the British Isles, with a strengthening SE’ly airflow as fronts move east against high pressure over Scandinavia.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS
Weather type – high/medium. Timing – medium.
Daytime temperatures rising to 10° or 11° Celsius, with overnight lows down to about 4° Celsius inland and 6° Celsius on coasts.

FRIDAY 16th: Bright, though generally cloudy, with a few scattered, mostly light showers at first. Becoming dry and bright with sunny spells by the afternoon, as F3 NW’ly winds veer N to NE’ly and freshen F3-4. The evening mainly dry and clear with a cool N to NE’ly breeze bringing the risk of a few light showers for the north of Shetland.
Sea state – Slight with a 1 metre N’ly swell.

SATURDAY 17th: A bright day with sunny spells and just the small risk of an isolated light shower,  this most likely over Shetland. Cool F4 N to NE’ly winds.
Sea state – Slight with a 1 metre N’ly swell

SUNDAY 18th: Mainly dry with sunny or clear periods, but feeling cool as F4 N to NE’ly winds freshen F4-5 and locally F6 to the east of Shetland.
Sea state – Slight in the west with a 1 metre N’ly swell and moderate to the east with a 2 metre N’ly swell.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK
Confidence level: Weather type – medium. Timing – medium.
Temperatures around 12° Celsius by day, down to 6° to 8° Celsius overnight.

MONDAY 19th: Sunny or clear periods and moderate N to NE’ly winds.

TUESDAY 20th: Dry and bright with light N to NE’ly winds.

WEDNESDAY 21st – MONDAY 26th: Continuing mostly dry and bright with light winds at first. Later in the week, winds becoming S to SE’ly in direction and gradually increasing strong by the following weekend as outbreaks of rain spread from the west.

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Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
.



Fair Isle, South Lighthouse
Fair Isle, South Lighthouse

Full moon rising

Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October


Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.

Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly




Daily news for Orkney -


and Shetland -



www.shetlandtoday.co.uk

Lerwick Weatherstation
Updated every 10  min

Tide times for Fair Isle & Other Northern Harbours
(links to page on BBC website)

Roads Weather Stations Shetland

Scapa Flow Harbours - Live Weather

Faeroese Weather Service

Shetland Landscapes
Excellent site describing the Shetland landscape and geology
by former Sella Ness forecaster Allen Fraser
Check out the Climate page for an in-depth insight
on the 'Braer Storm'!

A Shetland production company specialising in Shetland images and music, both traditional and contemporary.
 
Reflections of Shetland - a set of four DVD’s showing a personal view of the changing seasons of Shetland inspired by John J. Graham’s poem. 

 


aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

 



DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.

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