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SUMMARY

Today cloudier conditions with showers will return to Orkney as W値y winds freshen. Early rain will clear Shetland but it will stay dull and misty until the afternoon. Moderate S値y winds veering SW to W値y and freshening later. Showery rain over Orkney will extend to Shetland this evening, with Orkney becoming somewhat clearer overnight. Fresh to strong SW to W値y winds.

Tuesday bright with a few showers, fresh SW値y winds easing moderate. Fresh or strong SW値y winds and more frequent showers on Wednesday. Thursday brighter with fewer showers, fresh SW値y winds easing moderate to light. Friday mainly dry and bright with light to moderate W値y winds.

Then a few showers, but also some dry and bright weather with mostly moderate NW or N値y winds.

 

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 25/07/2016

A slack area of low pressure over Shetland will drift away towards Faeroe where it will tighten during Tuesday, bringing a showery SW to W値y airflow across the north of Scotland.

The low is expected to remain slow moving during Wednesday, before moving away to the north of Shetland later in the week and then the southern Norwegian Sea, pulling in a W to NW値y airflow over the Northern Isles.

Current forecasts suggest persistent low pressure to the north or northeast of Shetland will maintain a mostly NW値y airflow during the weekend and first half of next week.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

Daytime highs of around 15ー or 16ー Celsius in Kirkwall, 14ー or 15ー Celsius for Lerwick. Overnight lows generally 11ー or 12ー Celsius.

MONDAY 25th: After a dry start with some brightness cloudier conditions will return to Orkney this morning, with showers as W値y winds freshen F5. Though rain will soon clear Shetland this morning, it will stay dull and misty until the afternoon when it will turn brighter with some sunny spells developing. F4 S値y winds veering SW to W値y and freshening F4-5 later. Showery rain over Orkney will return to Shetland this evening, with Orkney becoming somewhat clearer overnight. F5-6 SW to W値y winds.
Sea State: Slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre SW値y wind-swell.

TUESDAY 26th: Bright with some sunny intervals and a few showers. F4-5 SW値y winds easing F4.
Sea State: Mostly moderate, with a 2 metre SW to W値y wind-swell.

WEDNESDAY 27th: Rather cloudy with F5 SW値y winds, locally F6, and more frequent showers.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre W値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Temperatures rising to 14ー to 16ー Celsius by day. Overnight lows falling to around 11ー Celsius.

THURSDAY 28th: Brighter with sunny spells and fewer showers. Fresh SW値y winds easing moderate to light.
Sea State: Slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre W値y wind-swell.

FRIDAY 29th: Mainly dry with some sunshine and light to moderate W値y winds.
Sea State: Perhaps slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre NW値y wind-swell.

SATURDAY 30th THURSDAY 4th: A few showers, but also some dry and bright weather with mostly moderate NW or N値y winds.
Sea State Saturday: Possibly slight to moderate, with a 1 to 2 metre NW値y wind-swell.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Friday 22 April, 2016 14:51

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Showers and freshening winds for Orkney. Shetland becoming drier and brighter, Lighter winds.

  Tonight

Showery rain over Orkney extending to Shetland. Breezy.

  Tomorrow

Bright with a few showers. Less windy.

  Days 3 5

Breezy and more showery on Wednesday. Thursday and Friday drier and brighter with moderate or light winds.

Days 6-10

Perhaps scattered showers and dry, bright periods. Moderate winds

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

Fair Isle, South LighthouseFair Isle, South Lighthouse


Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Reflections of Shetland - a set of four DVD’s showing a personal view of the changing seasons of Shetland inspired by John J. Graham’s poem. 

 

 

 
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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.

Orkney becoming warm dry and bright as rain moves on into Shetland, before clearing later. Breezy.