Move mouse over current pressure chart on right for forecast chart.

ASXX: 1200 UTC
28/11/02

FSXX: 0600 UTC
29/11/02

UK & near Continent plotted data
for 12:00 UTC
28th November &
latest UK plot

Link to Ian Waddell's
page with
Explanation of the station plot

Present Weather Symbols.

Mean Sea Temperature Chart
2 7th November

Above UK MO chart obtained from NWS, and converted to GIF format

1423 UTC
28/11/02
Move mouse over the image right to switch from CH2 visible to CH4 infrared image.
Click on the picture for wider CH4 visible coverage.

Satellite pictures obtained from
NERC Satellite Station at Dundee University,
from where further pictures are available.

Climate change?
So what's new - read what was thought 100+ years ago!

The Climate of Orkney
1827-1907
by Magnus Spence F.E.I.S of Deerness now available in pdf format (right mouse click and select 'save as' to view off-line)

NOTE To view the above file you will, if this is not already installed on your computer, have to download the freeware program Adobe Acrobat Reader. To obtain this click on icon below -

General Situation at 06:00 UTC 28/11/02 with Inference
As pressure remains low over the northeast Atlantic and high over Scandinavia a mild S to SE’ly airflow covers the British Isles. Today we will see the strong SE’ly airflow easing as a front clears north through Shetland. Later on Friday the front, its further progress blocked by high pressure over Scandinavia, is expected to edge back south into Shetland.

With high pressure persisting to the northeast and an Icelandic low driving a frontal system east into Scotland during Saturday the SE’ly airflow is expected to strengthen – especially later on Sunday as a secondary low runs rapidly north to the west of Scotland.

The computer models continue to show a very unsettled prospect for next week with a deep depression never far away from the north of the British Isles - producing an often strong, generally SW to NW’ly, airflow over Scotland.

3-day Outlook for Northeast Scotland
Confidence level: Weather type – medium. Timing – medium/low.

Mild with temperatures, rising to 9° to 11° Celsius, falling to 7° or 8° Celsius overnight – possibly a chillier 4° Celsius for mainland Orkney and Caithness where skies clear.

THURSDAY 28th: Rain and F7 to gale F8 SE’ly winds at first for much of Shetland. The brighter drier conditions with some sunny or clear spells and lighter F5 SE’ly winds over Fair Isle gradually edging north towards Lerwick by midday and the remainder of Shetland during the evening. Caithness and Orkney will continue to see brighter conditions with scattered showers and lighter F4-5 S to SE’ly winds. However here more frequent showers are likely to spread up from the south during the evening.
Swell – SE’ly at 5 metres.

FRIDAY 29th: Becoming mostly cloudy in the north of Shetland overnight with patchy rain or showers – these slowly spreading south to the remainder of Shetland during the day. Winds in Shetland will be a F5 SE’ly. Orkney and Caithness will be brighter and drier with scattered showers and F3-5 S to SE’ly winds – the showers possibly becoming more frequent over the North Isles during the evening.
Swell – ESE’ly at 3 to 4 metres.

SATURDAY 30th: Generally cloudy with scattered showers. Later in the afternoon and during the evening F4-5 SE’ly winds are expected to increase to become F6-7 by late evening as rain moves north through the area to reach much of Shetland by midnight.
Swell – E’ly at 3 metres.

Extended Outlook for Northeast Scotland
Confidence level: Weather type – low/medium. Timing – low.

Mild at first with temperatures in the daily range 8° to 10° Celsius, turning noticeably cooler by midweek with temperatures in the range 5° to 8° Celsius.

SUNDAY 1st: Becoming mostly dry by morning with F5 SE’ly winds. After a bright start cloud is likely to thicken from the south during the afternoon as SE’ly winds back E'ly and increase F7 to gale F8. Rain spreading north during the evening but probably not reaching until late.

MONDAY 2nd: Rain clearing to sunshine and showers in the south during the morning as strong to gale SE’ly winds ease and veer fresh S to SW’ly. The north of Shetland however may remain wet with SE’ly gales until the improvement arrives during the afternoon.

TUESDAY 3rd – SUNDAY 8th: Some improvement possible for Tuesday with light N'ly winds and scattered showers. remainder of week probably remaining unsettled and perhaps turning cooler after midweek with winds, increasing strong to gale force at times, mainly from between SW and NW in direction.

Weather page provided by, and words copyright of Dave Wheeler, North Isles Weather Services.

A text version of the 10-day outlook for Northeast Scotland is also available by e-mail on a weekly basis - usually at the weekend.

Or e-mail short text messages to wheelerdave@sms.genie.co.uk and I'll receive them via my mobile phone.

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DISCLAIMER
Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 'Extended Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.
Always check the latest forecast before undertaking any weather dependent activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.
Dave Wheeler, or any employee of North Isles Weather Services, does not accept any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.

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